Friday, August 26, 2016

Inter-market Relationships


Relationships between:

- stocks and bonds 
- bonds and commodities 
- commodities and the dollar.

in an inflationary environment include:

  • A positive correlation between stocks and bonds (with bonds usually leading).
  • A negative correlation between bonds and commodities.
  • A negative correlation between the US dollar and commodities.

In a deflationary environment: 
  • A negative correlation between bonds and stocks.
  • A negative correlation between commodities and bonds.
  • A positive correlation between stocks and commodities.
  • A negative correlation between the US Dollar and commodities.